The British divorce rate has fallen somewhat in the last couples of years. Why? Could it be that there is self-selection going on, that is, those who are temperamentally most likely to divorce are cohabiting instead, meaning those who are marrying are temperamentally more likely to stay married?
Or could it be, as some commentators have suggested, that there is a rejection of divorce among people who experienced divorce as children? Perhaps. On the other hand, some studies suggest that people who have experienced divorce are more likely to themselves get divorced.
Whatever is the explanation, it is likely that this one, offered by family lawyer, Marilyn Stowe, is wide of the mark. She told the London Times: “Couples are also tending to marry later and therefore their marriage may be likely to last – because they are making wiser decisions.”
There is no doubt that very early marriage is linked to a higher rate of divorce. However, until fairly recent times it was common-place for people to marry in their mid-twenties or so. Many of these couples would now be quite elderly and the divorce rate for older people tends to be lower than the divorce rate for younger people even though they married young. This is contrary to what Marilyn Stowe might expect.
In fact, the delay in getting married probably has the same underlying explanation as the high rate of divorce. (It may have declined in Britain, but it is still very high). People are delaying getting married because they value personal freedom so highly, and that is also why they are so ready to divorce.
One of the interesting and worrying statistics released in Britain yesterday relates to the number of children of cohabiting parents who have seen their parents split up.
Last year, of children aged 16 and under, 125,000 saw their parents divorce. A similar number saw their cohabiting parents split up. But there are far more married parents than cohabiting parents. This confirms that cohabiting couples are more likely to split up than married couples.
31/08/07
Children's “rights” or children's welfare? (Tom O'Gorman)
The latest call for the explicit recognition of children's rights in the Constitution comes via a report by Dr Ursula Kilkelly, a legal academic from University College, Cork. Dr Kilkelly argues that children are “invisible” in the current legal system.
30/08/07
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Older divorces, an Irish problem needing an overseas solution? (Tom O'Gorman)
Today's story showing that divorce in Ireland seems to be a middle-aged phenomenon shouldn't come as too much of a surprise for regular visitors to this website. A quick look at the Census figures on marriage in Ireland (which we have been highlighting for a few months now) shows that people in their 40s and 50s are most likely to experience marital breakdown.
24/08/07
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